[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON JUN 14 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU JUN 17 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.1N  62.4W      53  X  X  X 53   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
30.9N  63.1W      40  1  X  X 41   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
32.0N  63.5W      14  7  2  1 24   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            3 10  5  2 20   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FRANKLIN/PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?