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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1499
1500Z SAT OCT 09 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES SOUTHWARD
TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 106.3W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 106.3W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.9N 106.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N 107.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N 109.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 106.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
 
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