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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
1500Z FRI NOV 19 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  62.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT....... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  62.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.2N  62.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  62.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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