HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599
0900Z FRI OCT 29 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EAST COAST
OF NICARAGUA AND THE SAN ANDRES ISLANDS OF COLOMBIA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  82.2W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  82.2W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  82.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 12.5N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.2N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N  82.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 14.0N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.0N  88.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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