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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR                                              
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1            
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599                          
2100Z THU OCT 28 1999                                               
                                                                    
...CORRECTION...AL9199 TO AL1599...                                 
                                                                    
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED        
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE NICARAGUA-COSTA RICA BORDER       
TO THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER.                                   
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  81.1W AT 28/2100Z    
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM                                     
                                                                    
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  5 KT            
                                                                    
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB                          
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT                     
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES                                
                                                                    
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  81.1W AT 28/2100Z               
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  80.9W                    
                                                                    
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 11.5N  82.0W                                
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT                                      
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW                                     
                                                                    
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 11.7N  83.0W                                
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT                                      
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW                                     
                                                                    
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 12.0N  84.0W...INLAND                       
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT                                      
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW                                     
                                                                    
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  81.1W  
                                                                    
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE      
                                                                    
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 12.5N  85.5W...INLAND                        
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT                                      
                                                                    
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 13.5N  89.0W...INLAND                        
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT                                      
                                                                    
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z                                           
                                                                    
GUINEY                                                              
                                                                    
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE    
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.       
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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