[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
0300Z THU OCT 21 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA... THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  63.0W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..180NE 100SE  30SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  63.0W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.4N  64.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.7N  65.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.6N  66.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  40SW  75NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 120NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  63.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 36.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
GUINEY/PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.

NNNN


Problems?