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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
0900Z SAT OCT 16 1999
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET
FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  80.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT 9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  28 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  80.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  80.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.0N  79.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N  79.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.2N  78.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  80.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 36.0N  76.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 43.0N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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