HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
0300Z SAT OCT 16 1999
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF
FLORIDA CITY...THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST.  INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MAINTAIN
PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE ABACO ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  80.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  80.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  80.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.2N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.0N  79.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N  80.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 35.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.0N  71.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
NNNN