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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
1500Z FRI OCT 15 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI...GRAND
BAHAMA...AND THE ABACO ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  81.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW  45NW
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  81.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  81.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.7N  81.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.2N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.2N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  81.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.5N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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