HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
2100Z THU OCT 14 1999
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BOCA GRANDE.
THIS INCLUDES ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS
ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  82.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  30NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  30SW  30NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  82.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  82.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.4N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.0N  81.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  82.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 29.0N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 33.0N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
NNNN