HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1299
0300Z THU OCT 07 1999
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  46.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  46.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  46.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N  47.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.7N  48.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.2N  48.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  46.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.7N  49.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 18.8N  51.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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