HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1299
2100Z WED OCT 06 1999
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  46.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  46.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  45.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N  46.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.1N  47.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.7N  48.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  46.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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