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HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0999
1500Z WED SEP 22 1999
 
A STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOME OF
THE MARITIME AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND.  SEE STATEMENTS
FROM THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  58.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT 24 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT
64 KT.......120NE  90SE  50SW  90NW
50 KT.......180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 125SW 160NW
12 FT SEAS..225NE 225SE 125SW 225NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  58.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N  59.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.9N  57.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW  90NW
50 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 160NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 48.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 51.0N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...225NE 225SE 125SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  58.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 52.5N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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