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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
1500Z WED SEP 15 1999
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TITUSVILLE FLORIDA TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.  AT 11 AM EDT...HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF
TITUSVILLE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/
VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF TITUSVILLE SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  79.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT
64 KT.......120NE  70SE  60SW  60NW
50 KT.......140NE 135SE  90SW 130NW
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW
12 FT SEAS..600NE 250SE 200SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  79.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  78.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.2N  79.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT...120NE  70SE  60SW  60NW
50 KT...140NE 135SE  90SW 130NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N  78.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT...120NE  70SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT...140NE 135SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.7N  76.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT...140NE 135SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...200NE 180SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  79.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 41.7N  73.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 49.0N  63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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