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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
0300Z MON SEP 13 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS ISLANDS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...INCLUDING
THE ABACO ISLANDS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST AT 5 AM ON MONDAY.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  69.3W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT
64 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  70NW
50 KT.......125NE 100SE  90SW 100NW
34 KT.......250NE 180SE 150SW 200NW
12 FT SEAS..300NE 200SE 175SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  69.3W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  68.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.1N  71.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  70NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  90SW 100NW
34 KT...250NE 180SE 150SW 200NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.8N  73.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  70NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  90SW 100NW
34 KT...250NE 180SE 150SW 200NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.9N  76.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT
64 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  70NW
50 KT...125NE 100SE  90SW 100NW
34 KT...250NE 180SE 150SW 200NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  69.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 27.2N  78.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT
50 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 30.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
50 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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