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HURRICANE FLOYD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0899
0900Z SUN SEP 12 1999

...CORRECTION FOR 12-FT SEAS...
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE ACKLINS...CROOKED...
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...SAMANA CAY AND RAGGED ISLANDS....AND A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES
CAT...EXUMAS...LONG...RUM CAY AND SAN SALVADOR ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER
TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  65.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT
64 KT....... 75NE  45SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  90NW
34 KT.......150NE 125SE  90SW 125NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 100SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  65.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N  67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 125SE  90SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  50NW
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  90NW
34 KT...150NE 125SE  90SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.1N  72.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
34 KT...175NE 150SE 125SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  65.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 25.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 27.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
50 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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