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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0599
1500Z SAT SEP 04 1999
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS UPGRADED TO
A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SURF
CITY NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
AT 11 AT EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  75.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE  75SW 120NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  75.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  75.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 34.9N  76.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 36.4N  77.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...105NE 105SE  45SW  45NW
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 38.3N  77.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...105NE 105SE  25SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  75.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 40.5N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 45.5N  74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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