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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0599
1500Z TUE AUG 24 1999
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  71.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  71.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  70.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.8N  72.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  71.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 25.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 28.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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