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HURRICANE BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
1500Z SUN AUG 22 1999
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT
OCONNOR TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TO
FREEPORT.  AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF LA PESCA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  96.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  15NW
50 KT....... 65NE  40SE  30SW  40NW
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  96.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  96.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 27.4N  97.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  15NW
50 KT... 65NE  40SE  30SW  40NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.7N  98.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.7N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  96.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 27.7N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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