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TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0399
2100Z THU AUG 19 1999
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM TAMPICO SOUTHWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  94.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  90SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  94.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.1N  94.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  90SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N  96.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  94.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N  97.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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