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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
1500Z TUE JUN 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  61.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  61.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  61.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.9N  63.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  61.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 35.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN/JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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