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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

WTPA43 PHNL 141500
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
5 AM HST SAT AUG 14 1999
 
THE STORM IS SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST. STRONG
RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF EUGENE WILL KEEP THE STORM ON A WESTWARD
TRACK. EUGENE WILL BE MOVING INTO A HIGH LEVEL WESTERLY SHEAR ONCE
IT NEARS 160 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.

INITIAL MOTION IS 270/12. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
HABLUTZEL .
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/1500Z 14.6N 155.1W    35 KTS
12HR VT     15/0000Z 14.5N 156.8W    35 KTS
24HR VT     15/1200Z 14.4N 159.2W    30 KTS
36HR VT     16/0000Z 14.3N 161.6W    30 KTS
48HR VT     16/1200Z 14.5N 164.0W    25 KTS
72HR VT     17/1200Z 15.0N 170.0W    25 KTS


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