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HURRICANE EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE AUG 10 1999
 
EUGENE HAS MAINTAINED ITS CDO COVER AND STRENGTH INTO THE AFTERNOON
AS A RESULT OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE BURSTS.  VISIBLE AND IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY BOTH SUGGEST THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS
UNDERNEATH THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH THE BANDING POINTING
TOWARD THE CURRENT POSITION. INTENSITY HAS BEEN HELD AT 85 KTS.
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH
72 HRS.
 
INITIAL MOTION IS MAINTAINED AT 270/12...A SLIGHT INCREASE OVER
PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. EUGENE IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD FOR ANOTHER
12 HOURS...THEN TAKING A SLIGHTLY MORE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY COURSE 
THROUGH 48 HRS. THEREAFTER...THE TRACK BENDS BACK TO THE LEFT...
CONSISTENT WITH CLIPER.  EUGENE WILL CROSS 140W WITHIN 24 HRS...
ENTERING THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTERS AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY.  

FARRELL/GUINEY
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     10/2100Z 13.8N 137.6W    85 KTS
12HR VT     11/0600Z 14.0N 139.5W    85 KTS
24HR VT     11/1800Z 14.3N 142.0W    80 KTS
36HR VT     12/0600Z 14.8N 144.0W    75 KTS
48HR VT     12/1800Z 15.5N 146.0W    70 KTS
72HR VT     13/1800Z 16.5N 150.5W    65 KTS
 
 
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