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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT THU JUL 15 1999
 
OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TWO CENTERS
ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT REMAINS OF THE DEPRESSION. THE FIRST IS NEAR
18N113W AND MAY BE THE CENTER TRACKED BY AFWA AND SEEN IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY YESTERDAY. FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS MAY
HAVE BEEN THE MAIN CENTER OF THE SYSTEM ALL ALONG. THE SECOND IS
NEAR THE ADVISORY POSITION...WHICH MAY BE THE CENTER TRACKED BY TAFB
AND SAB YESTERDAY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH EITHER CENTER...AND THE DEPRESSION SHOULD DISSIPATE WITHIN 12
HOURS IF IT HAS NOT DONE SO ALREADY.

THE AVIATION MODEL HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A LARGE MONSOON-LIKE CIRCULATION NEAR THE DEPRESSION. ALTHOUGH
THE DETAILS OF THE MODEL FORECAST HAVE NOT VERIFIED WELL...THE
LATEST IMAGERY INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS FORMING. IF DEVELOPMENT
CONTINUES...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY ABSORB THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE-E OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.
 
BEVEN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     15/1500Z 14.6N 114.8W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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