HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BEATRIZ DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT THU JUL 15 1999

BEATRIZ CONTINUES MOVING 300/9. THE EYE HAS DIMINISHERD TO A SMALL
WARM SPOT IN INFRARED IMAGERY...INDICATING THAT COLDER SSTS ARE
FINALLY TAKING A TOLL ON THE CYCLONE. THE INTENSITY IS SET TO 75 KT
FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST PHILOSOPHIES ARE LITTLE CHANGED
FROM THE LAST THREE PACKAGES. BEATRIZ WILL MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE WEST AS IT WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOME DOMINANT. WITH
22C-23C SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
DISSIPATING BY 72 HOURS.

BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     15/1500Z 18.9N 129.2W    75 KTS
12HR VT     16/0000Z 19.6N 130.5W    70 KTS
24HR VT     16/1200Z 20.1N 132.2W    55 KTS
36HR VT     17/0000Z 20.4N 133.9W    40 KTS
48HR VT     17/1200Z 20.5N 135.5W    30 KTS
72HR VT     18/1200Z 20.5N 138.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
NNNN