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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LENNY DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST SUN NOV 21 1999
 
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT LENNY IS RAPIDLY
WEAKENING AND CONSISTS OF A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED LOW-CLOUD CENTER
OF CIRCULATION WITH A CONVECTIVE CURVED BAND TO THE EAST.  FURTHER
WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND LENNY WILL PROBABLY DISSIPATE IN 12 TO
24 HOURS.
 
THE EXPECTED NORTHEAST TRACK HAS FINALLY MATERIALIZED. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING 045/12 AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN MOTION IS
INDICATED BEFORE DISSIPATION.

AVILA 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/1500Z 17.6N  56.6W    30 KTS
12HR VT     22/0000Z 19.0N  55.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     22/1200Z 20.5N  53.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     23/0000Z 22.0N  51.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     23/1200Z 23.5N  47.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     24/1200Z 26.0N  40.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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