HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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HURRICANE JOSE DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 1999

SOUTHWESTERLY SHEARING HAS INCREASED AGAIN OVER JOSE...AND THE LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE SOUTHWEST EDGE OF THE CENTRAL
DENSE OVERCAST.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DUE TO AN
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT.  JOSE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
INVOLVED WITH A FRONTAL ZONE SOON...AND THEN ABSORBED BY THE
ACCOMPANYING LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.

THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND THE
FORWARD SPEED IS NOW ABOUT 30 KNOTS.  NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE
TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE LATEST RUN
OF THE NCEP GLOBAL MODEL.
 
PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     24/2100Z 33.0N  59.3W    65 KTS
12HR VT     25/0600Z 38.0N  56.0W    60 KTS
24HR VT     25/1800Z 45.0N  49.0W    55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     26/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW 
 
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