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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED OCT 06 1999
 
THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM COULD NOT
FIND A CENTER. INSTEAD THERE APPEAR TO BE SMALL VORTICITY MAXIMA
ALONG A BROAD TROUGH WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. BASED ON
THIS...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE DECLARED DISSIPATED.

DESPITE THE LACK OF A CENTER...WINDS HAVE INCREASED CONSIDERABLY
OVER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE FORMER CIRCULATION. SHIP PGEC HAS
REPORTED 40-48 KT WINDS SINCE 12Z...AND THE AIRCRAFT FOUND FLIGHT
LEVEL WINDS AS HIGH AS 50 KT NEAR 20N 96W. THUS...GALE WARNINGS ARE
BEING ISSUED IN OFFSHORE FORECASTS FROM THE SLIDELL NWSFO AND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS FROM TAFB.

THE SYSTEM IS STILL GENERATING CONVECTION...AND HEAVY FLOOD-
PRODUCING RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MEXICO.

ALTHOUGH THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED IN CASE REGENERATION OCCURS. THIS COULD HAPPEN IF THE
REMAINS OF THE CYCLONE STAY OVER WATER AND ISOLATE THEMSELVES FROM
THE GULF SURFACE TROUGH.
 
BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     06/2100Z 21.0N  95.0W...DISSIPATED
 
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