HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE...AS GLOBAL MODELS
PREDICTED...THAT HARVEY IS BECOMING RAPIDLY ABSORBED BY A DEVELOPING
EXTRATROPICAL LOW LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CAROLINAS.
HOWEVER...THERE IS ENOUGH CIRCULATION...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...PRIMARILY TO THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE STORM...OR WHAT
LEFT OF HARVEY...TO KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL STORM AT THIS
TIME.  MOST LIKELY...HARVEY WILL DISSIPATE OR BE ABSORBED BY THE
EXTRATROPICAL LOW TONIGHT.
 
THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER IS ELONGATED AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST OR EAST NORTHEAST ABOUT 12-15 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL BECOMES ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL PROBABLY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS
EVENING.
 
AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/2100Z 26.3N  80.5W    45 KTS
12HR VT     22/0600Z 27.0N  78.5W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     22/1800Z 28.5N  75.5W    40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     23/0600Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
NNNN