HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 07 1999

CENTER FIXES USING WSR-88D IMAGES FROM BROWNSVILLE INDICATE A
CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT...ABOUT 325/04.  ALTHOUGH THE CENTER
HAS BEEN INLAND FOR ABOUT 18 HOURS...THERE ARE STILL STRONG FEEDER
BANDS COMING ONSHORE OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO AND NEAR THE
TEXAS BORDER.  30-KNOT WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN SOME THESE BANDS.

WEAKENING IS LIKELY...WITH THE CYCLONE DISSIPATING IN 36 HOURS OR
SOONER. 

TRACK GUIDANCE IS VARIED...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THERE SHOULD BE
ENOUGH RIDGING TO THE NORTH SO THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE FARTHER
INLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
ROUGHLY AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS ONE.

THE THREAT OF FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINS SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND EXTREME SOUTH TEXAS.

PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     07/0900Z 24.6N  98.5W    30 KTS...INLAND
12HR VT     07/1800Z 24.7N  98.8W    30 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     08/0600Z 25.2N  99.2W    25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     08/1800Z 25.8N  99.7W    20 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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