HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON AUG 30 1999

THE PRIMARY CHANGE THIS MORNING IS THAT SOME RELOCATION OF THE
CENTER IS REQUIRED...AS CINDY WAS PUSHED AHEAD A LITTLE TOO FAST ON
INFRARED IMAGERY.  THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH COMING OFF THE
NORTHEAST U.S. COAST IS STILL EXPECTED TO CARRY THE CYCLONE
NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASING FORWARD SPEED.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
HAS BEEN ADJUSTED...BASED MAINLY ON THE INITIAL LOCATION.

NORTHWESTERLY SHEARING HAS CAUSED WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM AND THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS NOW 80 KNOTS.  WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS
CINDY MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS.  EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS
PREDICTED IN 48 HOURS...AS CINDY SHOULD BE WELL INTO THE MID-
LATITUDES BY THAT TIME.    

PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/1500Z 35.6N  54.4W    80 KTS
12HR VT     31/0000Z 37.0N  52.0W    75 KTS
24HR VT     31/1200Z 39.0N  49.0W    65 KTS
36HR VT     01/0000Z 41.5N  45.0W    55 KTS
48HR VT     01/1200Z 45.0N  38.5W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT     02/1200Z 51.0N  24.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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