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HURRICANE CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 30 1999
 
AN EYE WAS APPARENT FOR SEVERAL SATELLITE PHOTOS BETWEEN 3 AND 4Z
AND ALLOWED FOR A REASONABLE FIX AND INTENSITY CLASSIFICATION.  THE
INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 90 KNOTS...BASED ON CI NUMBERS.  THE
INITIAL MOTION WAS CALCULATED TO BE O65/11.

NUMERICAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A GENERAL NE MOTION THROUGH 72
HOURS WITH THE WESTERLIES GRADUALLY TAKING CINDY INTO COLDER WATER.
FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST WITH A TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL
STATUS AROUND 48 HOURS.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF
THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.
 
JARVINEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     30/0900Z 35.0N  54.6W    90 KTS
12HR VT     30/1800Z 36.0N  53.0W    75 KTS
24HR VT     31/0600Z 38.0N  49.6W    65 KTS
36HR VT     31/1800Z 40.6N  45.6W    55 KTS
48HR VT     01/0600Z 43.5N  40.5W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT     02/0600Z 50.0N  29.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
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