ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED SEP 09 1998 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO BROWNSVILLE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM HIGH ISLAND TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 170 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THERE REMAINS LITTLE MOVEMENT EVIDENT FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE PICTURES...OR RADAR DATA. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THIS FORECAST TRACK WOULD MOVE THE DEPRESSION TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE FUTURE TRACK OF THIS POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. NOAA WEATHER BUOY 42002 IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO REPORTED 1000.7 MB AT 10 AM CDT...1400Z. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST IN AS OUTER RAINBANDS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.6 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT. GUINEY STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC. NNNN