ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM AST MON SEP 21 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 24 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 19.3N 39.1W 48 X X X 48 22.1N 43.2W X 23 4 1 28 20.7N 41.2W 15 21 1 X 37 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT JARVINEN NNNN