ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST SAT AUG 01 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST TUE AUG 4 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 21.7N 61.9W 50 X X X 50 MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 2 3 23.6N 64.2W 10 22 X 1 33 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2 25.5N 66.3W X 13 11 1 25 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W 1 1 X X 2 BERMUDA X X X 6 6 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT RAPPAPORT NNNN