ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SAT AUG 01 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE AUG 4 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.2N 58.1W 56 X X X 56 TIST 183N 650W X 1 11 3 15 18.4N 60.5W 1 32 X X 33 TJPS 180N 666W X X 4 5 9 20.0N 62.5W X 9 14 1 24 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 3 3 TLPL 138N 610W X 1 1 X 2 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 6 6 12 TFFF 146N 610W X 4 2 X 6 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 4 4 TDPR 153N 614W X 8 3 X 11 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 5 5 TFFR 163N 615W X 17 2 X 19 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2 TAPA 171N 618W X 20 3 X 23 ST CROIX VI X 1 10 3 14 TKPK 173N 627W X 12 7 1 20 ST THOMAS VI X 1 11 3 15 TNCM 181N 631W X 10 11 X 21 SAN JUAN PR X X 6 6 12 TISX 177N 648W X 1 10 3 14 PONCE PR X X 4 5 9 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT GUINEY NNNN