ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1398 1500Z SAT OCT 24 1998 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR JAMAICA LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 77.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 77.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 77.9W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.8N 78.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.8N 78.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N 79.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 77.9W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N 80.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 82.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z LAWRENCE STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN