ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 16 1998 THE DEPRESSION IS DEFINED BY A POORLY DEFINED CIRCULATION AND INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 3O KNOTS AND NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AND SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...LITTLE MOTION IS FORECAST. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 12.5N 120.8W 30 KTS 12HR VT 16/1800Z 12.3N 120.5W 30 KTS 24HR VT 17/0600Z 12.0N 120.0W 30 KTS 36HR VT 17/1800Z 12.0N 119.5W 30 KTS 48HR VT 18/0600Z 12.0N 119.0W 30 KTS 72HR VT 19/0600Z 12.0N 118.5W 30 KTS NNNN