ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 06 1998 ESTELLE CONSIST OF A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A FEW SPOTS OF INTERMITTENT DEEP CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KNOTS AND SINCE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING OVER 24 C DEG WATER...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13. THE CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE EASTERLIES...AND ESTELLE SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 20.0N 138.1W 30 KTS 12HR VT 06/1800Z 20.3N 140.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 07/0600Z 20.5N 142.5W 25 KTS 36HR VT 07/1800Z 21.0N 144.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 08/0600Z 21.5N 147.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 09/0600Z 22.0N 152.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING NNNN