ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 1998 THE DEPRESSION IS GENERATING A RATHER SMALL...AND DIMINISHING...AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER AND JUST WEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS KEPT AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BASED ON ANALYSES OF SATELLITE PICTURES. SOME GROUND TRUTH ON THE INTENSITY COULD COME FROM SOCORRO ISLAND WHICH WILL BE NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTER DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SLOWER MOTION NOTED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PERSISTS...NOW TOWARD 295/10 KT. A MODEST LEFTWARD BEND IN THE TRACK COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IN RESPONSE TO TWO FACTORS...A STRONG WSW-ENE ORIENTED ANTICYCLONE THAT LAYS AHEAD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THE INCREASING INFLUENCE OF LOW-LEVEL STEERING WHILE THE DEPRESSION WEAKENS OVER COOLER WATERS. THE TRACK MODELS AND OFFICIAL FORECAST ARE CONSISTENT WITH THAT EXPECTATION...WHILE THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOWS A MORE SUBSTANTIAL LEFTWARD TURN. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 18.1N 110.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 21/1200Z 18.5N 112.0W 35 KTS 24HR VT 22/0000Z 18.9N 114.1W 35 KTS 36HR VT 22/1200Z 19.2N 116.2W 30 KTS 48HR VT 23/0000Z 19.5N 118.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HT VT 24/0000Z ...DISSIPATED NNNN