ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU SEP 03 1998 RADAR AND SURFACE DATA SHOW THE CENTER OF EARL ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH GEORGIA. CURRENT MOTION IS 50 DEGREES AT ABOUT 17 KT. THEY ALSO SHOW A SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED CIRCULATION ...AND MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KT...AND THESE ARE PROBABLY LIMITED TO THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CENTER. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALSO OCCURRING OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF GEORGIA. THE CURRENT MOTION AND GUIDANCE HAVE LED TO A FORECAST MOTION THAT IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN 6 HOURS AGO. THE TRACK OF THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE IN THE INTERIM AND SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW STORM STRENGTH TODAY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND WE ARE FORECASTING IT TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WHEN IT LEAVES THE COAST. THAT IS BY NO MEANS A CERTAINTY AND THE SYSTEM IS THEN LIKELY TO STILL HAVE A STRONG CIRCULATION ALOFT. THEREFORE...WHILE THIS IS INTENDED TO BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON EARL FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...WE WILL RESUME ADVISORIES IF THE SYSTEM AGAIN BECOMES A COASTAL OR OFFSHORE THREAT AS A TROPICAL EVENT. UNTIL THEN...INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE PROVIDED IN ISSUANCES OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AFOS HEADER NFDSCCNS5 AND WMO HEADER WWUS37 KWBC...TO BEGIN AT 4 PM EDT. RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 32.1N 83.3W 40 KTS 12HR VT 04/0000Z 33.7N 80.7W 30 KTS...INLAND 24HR VT 04/1200Z 35.9N 77.2W 30 KTS...INLAND 36HR VT 05/0000Z 37.7N 73.3W 40 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 05/1200Z 39.8N 68.3W 45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 06/1200Z 43.0N 55.0W 45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL NNNN