ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 1998 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 030/10. ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ACCELERATE THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO...AND AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE LAST SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE MOTION MAY BE A LITTLE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THERE IS NO RECON SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE THE SAME AS...OR LOWER...THAN SIX HOURS AGO...SO THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 85 KNOTS. THE FORECAST IS FOR NO CHANGE THROUGH 36 HOURS FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING OVER COLD SSTS...SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS MODEL. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0900Z 32.2N 72.5W 85 KTS 12HR VT 01/1800Z 33.2N 71.6W 85 KTS 24HR VT 02/0600Z 35.3N 68.0W 85 KTS 36HR VT 02/1800Z 38.0N 63.0W 85 KTS 48HR VT 03/0600Z 41.0N 57.5W 65 KTS 72HR VT 04/0600Z 46.0N 45.0W 55 KTS NNNN