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Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook (Text)



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252337
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Genevieve, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast
of Hilo, Hawaii.

Shower activity associated with a westward-moving area of low
pressure centered about 1175 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula continues to become better organized.
There is potential for a tropical depression to form during the next
day or so before upper-level winds become less favorable for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in
association with a low pressure area located about 500 miles south
of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Conditions appear to be favorable for
additional development, and a tropical depression could form during
the next day or two as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of
southeastern Mexico late this weekend.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Genevieve are issued under WMO header
WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories
are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS
header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Beven



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Page last modified: Friday, 25-Jul-2014 23:37:54 UTC