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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311741
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED AUG 31 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lester, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue a few hundred miles
south-southwest of Guatemala.  Environmental conditions are expected
to gradually become conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the low moves
west-northwestward or northwestward near the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

A broad area of low pressure has formed about 1000 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Any
development of this system is expected to be slow to occur due to
strong upper-level winds while the low remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake