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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook (Text)



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161733
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 16 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located about 900 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have changed little in organization since
this morning.  Although the system is moving into an area of less
favorable environmental conditions, only a small increase in
organization could still result in the formation of a tropical
depression this afternoon.  Cooler waters and strong upper-level
winds are expected to inhibit development after that time while the
system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another low pressure area located about 1450 miles east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Strong upper-level winds and proximity to dry air
are expected to inhibit significant development of this system while
it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next days or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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Page last modified: Monday, 16-Oct-2017 17:33:29 UTC