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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251732
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 25 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lester, located about 450 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii
have increased in coverage during the past 24 hours.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the
low moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula.  Some subsequent development of this system is possible
as it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

&&
Public Advisories on Lester are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.  Forecast/Advisories on Lester are
issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Brennan