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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook (Text)



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012333
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUL 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite wind data from this afternoon indicated that the low
pressure system located about 700 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula had developed a well-defined
circulation. The associated showers and thunderstorms have also
become more organized and concentrated near the center of
circulation throughout the day.  Additional development of this
system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form
tonight or on Saturday while the low moves generally west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Environmental conditions are
expected to become less conducive for development by early next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of
Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Slow development is expected tonight and on
Saturday, but environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for a tropical depression to form early next week while the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg

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Page last modified: Friday, 01-Jul-2016 23:33:57 UTC