Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 291516
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
1605 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

GALE WARNING...THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF MARIE IS LOCATED NEAR 
28.5N133.5W 1002 MB. NO DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS. OVERNIGHT ASCAT 
SCATTEROMETER DATA STILL SHOWED AN AREA OF MINIMAL GALE FORCE 
WINDS ON THE N SIDE OF THE CENTER SO A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 00 UTC SAT ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY DIMINISH BELOW GALE 
FORCE BY 18 UTC LATER TODAY. THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO 
MOVE TO THE NW REACHING 32N BY LATE SAT. ASSOCIATED WINDS AND 
SEAS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS AND 8 FT OR LESS BY 48 HOURS 
ACROSS THE NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N95W TO THE GULF OF    
TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. SCATTERED  
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75-150 NM OF 
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL 
LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK DURING THE NEXT 24-
48 HOURS.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 11N104W TO 
09N117W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N117W TO 12N128W TO 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION     
IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 
95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 16W.

...DISCUSSION...    

HIGH PRES AT 1023 MB IS N OF THE AREA NEAR 41N135W WITH A RIDGE 
AXIS EXTENDING TO THE SE THROUGH 32N123W TO 20N121W. MEANWHILE 
TROUGHING HAS SET UP ALONG THE NW PORTION OF MEXICO. BETWEEN  
THE TWO...A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NW-
N WINDS AND RESULTANT SEAS TO 8 FT JUST W OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA 
PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT. 

ELSEWHERE W OF 110W...THE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD 
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE REMNANT LOW OF MARIE CONTINUES 
TO THE NW THEN W. THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO 
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS. 

E OF 110W...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL WITH GENTLE 
TO MODERATE WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
LEWITSKY



Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 29-Aug-2014 15:16:44 UTC