000 AXNT20 KNHC 230605 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 105 AM EST MON NOV 23 2009 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...THE ITCZ... 9N13W 5N30W 5N39W 6N49W...ACROSS NORTHWESTERN FRENCH GUIANA...NORTHERN SURINAME...AND BEYOND CENTRAL GUYANA AND 5N60W. ISOLATED AND DISORGANIZED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM 2N TO 8N...MOSTLY BETWEEN 10W AND 53W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 14N51W 4N50W. THE SOUTHERN END OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 23N41W TO 19N39W TO 14N36W. CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION COVER THE AREA FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 35W AND 41W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA. A 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS IN THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN OCCLUDED FRONT GOES FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN IT CURVES TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA. THE WARM FRONT THAT WAS GOING FROM THE TRIPLE POINT IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND EASTWARD ACROSS THE BORDER OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA HAS BECOME STATIONARY ALSO DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. MIDDLE LEVEL AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE RACING ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA FROM 21N TO 22N WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 95W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN GUATEMALA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO 23N86W IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE BETWEEN 85W AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS NORTHWARD. MIDDLE LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA THANKS TO A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL ATLANTIC OCEAN RIDGE WAY TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. A SEPARATE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA IS SENDING UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF 14N. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 56W AND THE U.S.A. EAST COAST. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GOES FROM 31N51W TO 26N48W TO 23N41W TO 19N39W TO 14N36W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 23N TO 31N BETWEEN 44W AND 50W...AND FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 55W AND 57W. AN EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH GOES FROM 31N22W TO 26N23W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS FROM 29N TO 31N BETWEEN 20W AND 22W. $$ MT
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