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Post-Tropical Cyclone PATRICIA Public Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 242031
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...PATRICIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 100.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF MONTERREY MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Patricia, a remnant low pressure area, was located near latitude
25.3 North, longitude 100.6 West.  The post-tropical cyclone is
moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue until the low dissipates tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnant low is expected to weaken to a trough during the next
several hours, and the remnants of Patricia should be absorbed by a
non-tropical low pressure system over southern Texas later tonight
or on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  While heavy rains near the center of Patricia have
decreased significantly as the cyclone has weakened over
northeastern Mexico, the heavy rain threat ahead of the remnants of
Patricia will increase this evening across northeast Mexico into
coastal sections of Texas.   This heavy rain threat will continue
across the western Gulf coast through this weekend and spread into
the central Gulf coast by early next week.  These rains may produce
dangerous flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on the continuing
threat of heavy rains can be found in statements from National
Weather Service local forecast offices and the Meteorological
Service of Mexico.

$$
Forecaster Beven



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Page last modified: Thursday, 12-Nov-2015 17:48:16 UTC